Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.361485 0.394871 0.430449 0.471268 0.516905 0.566474 0.624540
2025-12-14 0.302425 0.348490 0.400898 0.465284 0.542735 0.633498 0.748790
2025-12-21 0.262443 0.313034 0.373098 0.450334 0.547978 0.668613 0.830964
2025-12-28 0.243475 0.298842 0.366960 0.458007 0.578154 0.733631 0.953963
2026-01-04 0.227832 0.286464 0.360812 0.463542 0.604262 0.793969 1.075592
2026-01-11 0.213970 0.274710 0.353785 0.466289 0.625610 0.848483 1.193746
2026-01-18 0.201820 0.263963 0.346787 0.467776 0.644389 0.900024 1.312160
2026-01-25 0.192162 0.255672 0.342184 0.471718 0.666301 0.957281 1.444895
2026-02-01 0.179548 0.242312 0.329374 0.462468 0.667317 0.982330 1.528231
2026-02-08 0.171696 0.235073 0.324621 0.464453 0.685137 1.034519 1.661772
2026-02-15 0.163109 0.226181 0.316773 0.460950 0.693700 1.072083 1.773918
2026-02-22 0.156760 0.220131 0.312644 0.462696 0.710506 1.124346 1.918061
2026-03-01 0.148683 0.211169 0.303740 0.456498 0.714089 1.155082 2.027724
2026-03-08 0.141327 0.202906 0.295425 0.450655 0.717757 1.186274 2.142467
2026-03-15 0.132602 0.192081 0.282487 0.436275 0.705392 1.187174 2.196553
2026-03-22 0.129448 0.189691 0.282649 0.443656 0.731732 1.261619 2.411535
2026-03-29 0.126069 0.186742 0.281697 0.448981 0.754660 1.331709 2.627399
2026-04-05 0.122369 0.183076 0.279336 0.451622 0.772728 1.393956 2.835082
2026-04-12 0.118678 0.179229 0.276436 0.453053 0.788511 1.453039 3.044404
2026-04-19 0.115667 0.176332 0.274940 0.456844 0.809041 1.523838 3.292874
2026-04-26 0.110542 0.169712 0.266794 0.447947 0.803849 1.539679 3.407702
2026-05-03 0.107631 0.166648 0.264575 0.449857 0.820382 1.604024 3.656961
2026-05-10 0.103993 0.162199 0.259725 0.446487 0.825813 1.644260 3.849216